Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien

Início: 2026-09-06 02:07 UTC

Final: Jakub Mensik 2–3 Learner Tien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Previsão 44.65%2.24odd justa
EV +0.898%
Vantagem +0.397%
Kelly +0.713%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.93%44.63%44.59%46.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.112.102.2649.50%47.38%47.62%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Previsão 55.35%1.81odd justa
EV -0.361%
Vantagem -0.201%
Kelly -0.452%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.25%55.37%55.41%57.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.731.8059.88%58.01%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jakub Mensik (Local): 44.65%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 55.35%. Para Jakub Mensik (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.26, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.898%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.898%E +0.397%K +0.713%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.888%E -0.400%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 02:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:06
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:10
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:30
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:24
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:09
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.361%E -0.201%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.82%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 02:00
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-06 02:00
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-09-06 02:00