默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 02:07 UTC

最终结果: Jakub Mensik 2–3 Learner Tien

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jakub Mensik (主队)

预测 44.65%2.24公平赔率
EV +0.898%
优势 +0.397%
Kelly +0.713%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
42.93%44.63%44.59%46.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.112.102.2649.50%47.38%47.62%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Learner Tien (客队)

预测 55.35%1.81公平赔率
EV -0.361%
优势 -0.201%
Kelly -0.452%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.25%55.37%55.41%57.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.721.731.8059.88%58.01%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jakub Mensik (主队):44.65%;Learner Tien (客队):55.35%。 对于“Jakub Mensik (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.26,对应+0.898%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.898%E +0.397%K +0.713%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.888%E -0.400%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 02:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:06
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:10
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:30
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:24
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:09
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.361%E -0.201%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.82%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 02:00
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-06 02:00
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-09-06 02:00