Language:English
Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV +12.84%
Edge +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +0.383%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 78.71%1.27fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Comesana (Local): 21.29%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 78.71%. For Francisco Comesana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 07:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |