Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Comesana (Local)

Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 5.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%19.85%19.85%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.885.005.3126.32%20.49%20.00%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visit)

Prediction 80.23%1.25fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -9.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%80.15%80.15%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.161.2287.72%85.29%86.21%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Francisco Comesana (Local): 19.77%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 80.23%. For Francisco Comesana (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 16 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.31, producing a positive expected value of +4.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.31I 18.83%NM 18.56%EV +4.96%E +0.935%K +1.15%G +0.057%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.44%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-27 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.78%E +0.720%K +0.889%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 23:14
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.812%E +0.159%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 00:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 23:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:34
GTbets🎯4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -3.54%E -0.725%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 22:00
DraftKings🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.51%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.09%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.07%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -24.88%E -6.55%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.92%EV -8.53%E -7.49%K -60.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-27 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%10.2%2026-08-27 22:25