Langue:Français
Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Prévision 21.29%4.70cote équitable
EV +12.84%
Avantage +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Croissance +0.383%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.71%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Francisco Comesana (Local) : 21.29% ; Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur) : 78.71%. Pour Francisco Comesana (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.70. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +12.84%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 07:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |