Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli

Inizio: 2026-09-01 15:05 UTC

Finale: Francisco Comesana 2–3 Flavio Cobolli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Francisco Comesana (Casa)

Previsione 21.29%4.70quota equa
EV +12.84%
Vantaggio +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescita +0.383%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.71%1.27quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Francisco Comesana (Casa): 21.29%; Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta): 78.71%. Per Francisco Comesana (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.70. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +12.84%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 15:00
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:00
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 14:20
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:40
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:45
Pinnacle🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 14:20
GTbets🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 09:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 07:40
Fliff🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 15:00
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:55
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:20
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 20:38
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 04:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:48
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:04
DraftKings🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 08:48
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:31
NordicBet🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:00
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 08:24
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:00
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 07:44
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:10
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 14:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Matchbook◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
ProphetX◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-09-01 14:50
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-01 14:40
Novig◎5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91%2.1%2026-09-01 15:00
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%2.2%2026-09-01 15:00