Idioma:Español
Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV +12.84%
Ventaja +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Crecimiento +0.383%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 78.71%1.27momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Francisco Comesana (Local): 21.29%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 78.71%. Para Francisco Comesana (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.70. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +12.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 07:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |