Idioma:Español
Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli
Resultado del partido
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Predicción 19.77%5.06momio equitativo
EV +4.96%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%19.85%19.85%23.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.865.005.3126.32%20.57%20.00%18.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 80.23%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -9.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%80.15%80.15%82.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.171.171.2287.72%85.19%85.84%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Francisco Comesana (Local): 19.77%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 80.23%. Para Francisco Comesana (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.06. 16 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.31, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.96%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.56%EV +4.96%E +0.935%K +1.15%G +0.057% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.44%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.78%E +0.720%K +0.889%G +0.034% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.812%E +0.159%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -3.54%E -0.725%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.51%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.09%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.07%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.73%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.73%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -24.88%E -6.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.92%EV -8.53%E -7.49%K -60.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90% | 10.2% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |