Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Francisco Comesana (Local)

Previsão 19.77%5.06odd justa
EV +4.96%
Vantagem +0.935%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.97%19.85%19.85%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.865.005.3126.32%20.57%20.00%18.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 80.23%1.25odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -9.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%80.15%80.15%82.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.171.171.2287.72%85.19%85.84%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Francisco Comesana (Local): 19.77%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 80.23%. Para Francisco Comesana (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 5.06. 16 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 5.31, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯5.31I 18.83%NM 18.56%EV +4.96%E +0.935%K +1.15%G +0.057%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.44%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-27 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.78%E +0.720%K +0.889%G +0.034%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.79%E +0.536%K +0.664%G +0.019%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 23:14
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +0.812%E +0.159%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 00:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 23:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 00:00
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.16%E -0.233%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.93%E -5.97%K -43.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:34
GTbets🎯4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%EV -3.54%E -0.725%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-27 22:00
DraftKings🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.51%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.09%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:00
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.07%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.33%E -4.51%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.13%E -5.24%K -36.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.92%E -2.41%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:50
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.12%E -1.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.98%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.10%K -18.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -24.88%E -6.55%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 76.92%EV -8.53%E -7.49%K -60.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-27 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%10.2%2026-08-27 22:25