StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 15:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Francisco Comesana 2–3 Flavio Cobolli

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Comesana (Hemma)

Prognos 21.29%4.70rättvist odds
EV +12.84%
Fördel +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Tillväxt +0.383%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Borta)

Prognos 78.71%1.27rättvist odds
EV -3.19%
Fördel -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Francisco Comesana (Hemma): 21.29%; Flavio Cobolli (Borta): 78.71%. För Francisco Comesana (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.70. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +12.84%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 15:00
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:00
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 14:20
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:40
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:45
Pinnacle🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 14:20
GTbets🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 09:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 07:40
Fliff🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 15:00
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 14:55
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:20
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 20:38
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 04:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:48
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:04
DraftKings🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 08:48
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 08:31
NordicBet🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Betsson🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 15:00
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 08:24
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:00
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 07:44
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:10
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:10
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 14:26
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-09-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Matchbook◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-09-01 15:00
ProphetX◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-09-01 14:50
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-01 14:40
Novig◎5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91%2.1%2026-09-01 15:00
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%2.2%2026-09-01 15:00