Язык:Русский
Francisco Comesana v Flavio Cobolli
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Francisco Comesana (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.29%4.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.84%
Преимущество +2.42%
Kelly +2.99%
Рост +0.383%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.96%21.20%21.24%23.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.514.505.3025.00%22.19%22.22%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Flavio Cobolli (Гости)
Прогноз 78.71%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.19%
Преимущество -2.59%
Kelly -13.86%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.63%78.80%78.76%82.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.201.211.2386.96%83.03%82.64%81.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Francisco Comesana (Хозяева): 21.29%; Flavio Cobolli (Гости): 78.71%. Для исхода «Francisco Comesana (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.70. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.84%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +12.84%E +2.42%K +2.99%G +0.383% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -8.70%E -7.50%K -54.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +6.45%E +1.29%K +1.61%G +0.104% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.91%E -6.76%K -46.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +4.32%E +0.883%K +1.11%G +0.048% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.13%E +0.238%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%EV -0.146%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%EV -3.19%E -2.59%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.75%EV -0.785%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.25%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.06%E -0.448%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.12%E -6.04%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -3.13%E -0.687%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.48%E -8.25%K -63.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.34%E -0.736%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-28 20:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.19%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.26%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.32%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 08:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.34%E -5.32%K -33.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.81%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 08:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.74%EV -8.02%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -8.45%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.51%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 07:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.76%E -3.94%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.58%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -13.77%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -5.55%E -4.62%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.97%E -3.26%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |