Language:English
Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Head to Head
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prediction 71.88%1.39fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.50%71.99%71.88%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.321.3679.37%76.04%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%28.01%28.13%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.62%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alex Michelsen (Local): 71.88%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 28.12%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.28%E -5.64%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.24%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.44%E -7.49%K -36.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.24%E +0.346%K +0.478%G +0.006% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.57%E -0.448%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.69%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.25%E -1.65%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -2.97%E -2.20%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.69%E -2.75%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.97%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -7.28%E -5.64%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.69%E -2.75%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.10%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.69%E -2.75%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.10%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.69%E -2.75%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -8.00%E -6.25%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.79%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.63%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.84%E -4.46%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.72%E -6.86%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.76%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -7.76%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.25%E -1.65%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.40%E -3.31%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.60%E -2.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.12%E -3.88%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.56%E -5.05%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-05 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 01:21 |