Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-09-06 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Prévision 71.94%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.50%72.03%71.89%74.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.261.311.321.3679.37%76.05%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.386%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.97%28.11%29.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 71.94% ; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur) : 28.06%. Pour Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.56. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +1.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.35%E -7.42%K -35.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%7.1%2026-09-05 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:04
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.92%E -0.845%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:04
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:06
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:06
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 01:35
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:55
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 02:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-09-05 23:06
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-06 01:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-09-06 02:20