Langue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 72.37%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -4.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.84%72.26%72.35%73.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.78%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.572%
Avantage +0.157%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.23%27.74%27.65%30.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.433.6432.26%29.47%29.15%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 72.37% ; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur) : 27.63%. Pour Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.64, soit une espérance positive de +0.572%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.572%E +0.157%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.36%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 12:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 05:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 15:36 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |