Idioma:Português
Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Previsão 72.37%1.38odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -4.38%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.84%72.26%72.35%73.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.78%75.76%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Previsão 27.63%3.62odd justa
EV +0.572%
Vantagem +0.157%
Kelly +0.217%
Crescimento +0.001%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.23%27.74%27.65%30.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.433.6432.26%29.47%29.15%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Michelsen (Local): 72.37%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 27.63%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.62. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.64, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.572%.
Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.572%E +0.157%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.36%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 12:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 05:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 15:36 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |