Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 72.37%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.58%
Przewaga -1.16%
Kelly -4.38%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.84%72.26%72.35%73.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.78%75.76%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście)
Prognoza 27.63%3.62kurs godziwy
EV +0.572%
Przewaga +0.157%
Kelly +0.217%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.64
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.23%27.74%27.65%30.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.393.433.6432.26%29.47%29.15%27.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 72.37%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście): 27.63%. Dla wyniku Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.62. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.64, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.572%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.572%E +0.157%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.36%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 07:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 18:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 07:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 12:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 05:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 05:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 15:36 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 18:40 |