預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

開賽時間: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

最終賽果: Alex Michelsen 3–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alex Michelsen (主隊)

預測 72.37%1.38公平賠率
EV -1.58%
優勢 -1.16%
Kelly -4.38%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.36

博彩公司預測分布
69.84%72.26%72.35%73.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.281.321.321.3678.13%75.78%75.76%73.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客隊)

預測 27.63%3.62公平賠率
EV +0.572%
優勢 +0.157%
Kelly +0.217%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 3.64

博彩公司預測分布
26.23%27.74%27.65%30.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.393.433.6432.26%29.47%29.15%27.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Alex Michelsen (主隊):72.37%;Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客隊):27.63%。 對於「Tomas Martin Etcheverry (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.62的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.64,對應+0.572%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.572%E +0.157%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.7%2026-09-06 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:50
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -1.36%E -0.381%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 18:55
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 18:50
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 18:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 07:24
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:50
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:25
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:24
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 07:23
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.36%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.64%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:41
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:15
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.51%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 13:40
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:50
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 12:06
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 12:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 05:58
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:55
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.58%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 05:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 05:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 05:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 05:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:36
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-06 18:45
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05%1.5%2026-09-06 18:55
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-09-06 18:40