Idioma:Español
Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Resultado del partido
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Predicción 71.94%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.50%72.03%71.89%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.311.321.3679.37%76.05%75.76%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.386%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.97%28.11%29.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex Michelsen (Local): 71.94%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 28.06%. Para Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.56. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.35%E -7.42%K -35.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 7.1% | 2026-09-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.92%E -0.845%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:13 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 02:20 |