StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-09-06 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 71.94%1.39faire Quote
EV -2.16%
Vorteil -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.50%72.03%71.89%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.261.311.321.3679.37%76.05%75.76%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.06%3.56faire Quote
EV +1.00%
Vorteil +0.279%
Kelly +0.386%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.93%27.97%28.11%29.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 71.94%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Auswärts): 28.06%. Für Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.56. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.60 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -9.35%E -7.42%K -35.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%7.1%2026-09-05 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:04
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.92%E -0.845%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:04
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:06
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:06
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 01:35
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -7.97%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:55
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 02:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-09-05 23:06
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-09-06 01:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-09-06 02:20