Language:English
Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 68.54%1.46fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)
Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 68.54%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 31.46%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036% | 2.5% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 2.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |