Szkoła Kursów

Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Początek: 2026-06-19 16:35 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Tommy Paul (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.54%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -2.67%
Przewaga -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Goście)

Prognoza 31.46%3.18kurs godziwy
EV +5.39%
Przewaga +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
Wzrost +0.124%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124%6.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036%2.5%2026-06-19 16:31
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 16:31
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:28
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:31
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:28
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:28
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:28
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-06-19 16:30