La scuola delle quote

Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Inizio: 2026-06-19 16:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 68.54%1.46quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.46%3.18quota equa
EV +5.39%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
Crescita +0.124%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124%6.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036%2.5%2026-06-19 16:31
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 16:31
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:28
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:31
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:28
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:28
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:28
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-06-19 16:30