La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 68.54%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visitante)
Predicción 31.46%3.18momio equitativo
EV +5.39%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
Crecimiento +0.124%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036% | 2.5% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 16:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Novig | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24% | 2.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |