مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

البداية: 2026-06-19 16:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tommy Paul (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.54%1.46السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.46%3.18السعر العادل
EV +5.39%
الأفضلية +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
النمو +0.124%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124%6.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036%2.5%2026-06-19 16:31
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 16:31
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:28
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:31
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:28
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:28
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:28
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-06-19 16:30