A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Início: 2026-06-19 16:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 68.54%1.46odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -6.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.06%68.53%68.49%72.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.66%72.46%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visitante)

Previsão 31.46%3.18odd justa
EV +5.39%
Vantagem +1.61%
Kelly +2.29%
Crescimento +0.124%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.96%31.47%31.51%32.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.013.003.3535.09%33.23%33.33%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +5.39%E +1.61%K +2.29%G +0.124%6.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%EV +2.87%E +0.878%K +1.26%G +0.036%2.5%2026-06-19 16:31
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.904%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.48%E -0.799%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:29
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 16:31
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.15%E -6.09%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:31
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 16:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:28
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:31
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:31
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:28
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 16:31
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.20%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:28
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:31
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 16:28
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.41%E -3.92%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:29
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 16:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.34%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-19 16:30
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%2.4%2026-06-19 16:30