The School of Odds

Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Hemma)

Prognos 28.87%3.46rättvist odds
EV +1.03%
Fördel +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 71.13%1.41rättvist odds
EV -3.26%
Fördel -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 14:31
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:30
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:40
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 14:21
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:40
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:39
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 17:20
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 14:21
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:31
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 14:20
DraftKings3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
GTbets3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 07:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Dabble (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 13:50
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 13:36
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 17:31
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:50
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:19
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 00:10
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 17:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 14:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:40
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-15 14:23
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-15 14:20
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94%1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06%24.1%2026-06-15 16:41