Die Wettquotenschule

Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ignacio Buse (Heim)

Prognose 28.87%3.46faire Quote
EV +1.03%
Vorteil +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)

Prognose 71.13%1.41faire Quote
EV -3.26%
Vorteil -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 14:31
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:30
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:40
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 14:21
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:40
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:39
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 17:20
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 14:21
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:31
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 14:20
DraftKings3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
GTbets3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 07:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Dabble (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 13:50
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 13:36
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 17:31
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:50
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:19
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 00:10
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 17:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 14:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:40
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-15 14:23
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-15 14:20
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94%1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06%24.1%2026-06-15 16:41