La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 28.87%3.46momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 71.13%1.41momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:29 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| GTbets | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| ReBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 14:23 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Novig | 2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06% | 24.1% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |