Język:Polski
Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.87%3.46kurs godziwy
EV +1.03%
Przewaga +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Wzrost +0.004%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rafael Jodar (Goście)
Prognoza 71.13%1.41kurs godziwy
EV -3.26%
Przewaga -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze): 28.87%; Rafael Jodar (Goście): 71.13%. Dla wyniku Ignacio Buse (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.46. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.03%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 14:23 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06% | 24.1% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |