L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.13%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| TABtouch | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Casumo | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:29 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| GTbets | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| ReBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 14:23 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Novig | 2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06% | 24.1% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |