Lingua:Italiano
Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ignacio Buse (Casa)
Previsione 28.87%3.46quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)
Previsione 71.13%1.41quota equa
EV -3.26%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ignacio Buse (Casa): 28.87%; Rafael Jodar (Trasferta): 71.13%. Per Ignacio Buse (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.46. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.03%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 14:23 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06% | 24.1% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |