مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar

البداية: 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ignacio Buse (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.87%3.46السعر العادل
EV +1.03%
الأفضلية +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.13%1.41السعر العادل
EV -3.26%
الأفضلية -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 14:31
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:30
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:40
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 14:21
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:29
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:40
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 14:39
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 17:20
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 14:21
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:31
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 17:20
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 14:20
DraftKings3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
GTbets3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 07:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 14:30
Dabble (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 13:50
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 13:36
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 17:31
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:50
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:10
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 14:19
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 00:10
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 17:20
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:30
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:30
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 14:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 14:40
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 14:30
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 14:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-15 16:21
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-15 14:23
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-06-15 14:20
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94%1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06%24.1%2026-06-15 16:41