Язык:Русский
Ignacio Buse v Rafael Jodar
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ignacio Buse (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.87%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.03%
Преимущество +0.294%
Kelly +0.412%
Рост +0.004%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.78%28.88%28.79%30.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.323.303.5033.33%30.13%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Rafael Jodar (Гости)
Прогноз 71.13%1.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.26%
Преимущество -2.39%
Kelly -9.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.28%71.12%71.21%73.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.78%75.19%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ignacio Buse (Хозяева): 28.87%; Rafael Jodar (Гости): 71.13%. Для исхода «Ignacio Buse (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.46. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.03%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +1.03%E +0.294%K +0.412%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.163%E +0.047%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.414%E -0.120%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.28%E -0.374%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.546%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.72%E -0.808%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.30%E -0.985%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.26%E -2.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 13:36 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.24%E -6.38%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -4.74%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.95%E -6.99%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.32%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -7.05%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.63%E -2.38%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.07%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.96%E -3.92%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.40%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 14:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 14:23 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 38.94% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.06% | 24.1% | 2026-06-15 16:41 |