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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alex Michelsen (主队)

预测 42.54%2.35公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.934%
Kelly -1.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.10%42.45%42.60%43.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.77%44.54%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jiri Lehecka (客队)

预测 57.46%1.74公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -3.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
56.28%57.55%57.40%58.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.02%60.98%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Alex Michelsen (主队)：42.54%；Jiri Lehecka (客队)：57.46%。 对于“Alex Michelsen (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.35。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.30，期望值为-2.15%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.79%E -6.24%K -17.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -5.98%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.37%E -6.65%K -18.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.25%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.25%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.68%E -3.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.52%E -7.48%K -21.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 17:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-11-02 21:25