Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

42%

58%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Prévision 42.49%2.35cote équitable

EV -2.28%

Avantage -0.990%

Kelly -1.75%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.51%1.74cote équitable

EV -2.23%

Avantage -1.31%

Kelly -3.19%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 42.49% ; Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur) : 57.51%. Pour Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.74. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.70, pour une espérance de -2.23% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-11-02 17:39

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
ProphetX◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	0.6%	2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%	1.3%	2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%	2.0%	2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%	2.2%	2026-11-02 21:25