StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 42.49%2.35faire Quote
EV -2.28%
Vorteil -0.990%
Kelly -1.75%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts)

Prognose 57.51%1.74faire Quote
EV -2.23%
Vorteil -1.31%
Kelly -3.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 42.49%; Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts): 57.51%. Für Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.74. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.70, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.23%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 17:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-11-02 21:25