النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Alex Michelsen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.49%2.35السعر العادل
EV -2.28%
الأفضلية -0.990%
Kelly -1.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.51%1.74السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -3.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Alex Michelsen (المضيف)⁩: ⁨42.49%⁩؛ ⁨Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)⁩: ⁨57.51%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨1.74⁩. لا تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى: أفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨1.70⁩، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها ⁨-2.23%⁩؛ ولا ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-11-02 21:25