Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.49%2.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.28%
Преимущество -0.990%
Kelly -1.75%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Jiri Lehecka (Гости)

Прогноз 57.51%1.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.23%
Преимущество -1.31%
Kelly -3.19%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Alex Michelsen (Хозяева): 42.49%; Jiri Lehecka (Гости): 57.51%. Для исхода «Jiri Lehecka (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.74. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший доступный коэффициент — 1.70, математическое ожидание — -2.23%; положительного ожидания нет.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 17:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-11-02 21:25