Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

42%

58%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alex Michelsen (Casa)

Previsione 42.49%2.35quota equa

EV -2.28%

Vantaggio -0.990%

Kelly -1.75%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.51%1.74quota equa

EV -2.23%

Vantaggio -1.31%

Kelly -3.19%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 42.49%; Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta): 57.51%. Per Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.74. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.70, con un valore atteso del -2.23%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-11-02 17:39

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	0.6%	2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%	1.3%	2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%	2.0%	2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%	2.2%	2026-11-02 21:25