Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

42%

58%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Predicción 42.49%2.35momio equitativo

EV -2.28%

Ventaja -0.990%

Kelly -1.75%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

41.10%42.42%42.56%43.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.76%44.54%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)

Predicción 57.51%1.74momio equitativo

EV -2.23%

Ventaja -1.31%

Kelly -3.19%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

56.28%57.58%57.44%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.04%60.98%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex Michelsen (Local): 42.49%; Jiri Lehecka (Visitante): 57.51%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.74. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.70, con un valor esperado de -2.23%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-11-02 18:48
BetAnything🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.28%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-02 12:45
Pinnacle🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.23%E -1.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.55%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.98%E -1.76%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.38%E -2.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.71%E -6.18%K -17.03%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.83%E -2.15%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.53%E -2.73%K -6.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 07:19
PlayUp🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.68%E -3.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 18:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.41%E -4.60%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.28%E -6.59%K -18.36%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.95%E -3.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.26%E -3.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.81%E -1.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.37%E -3.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.80%E -3.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.96%E -2.37%K -5.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.11%E -3.09%K -7.86%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.83%E -4.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -4.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.98%E -4.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.43%E -7.42%K -21.17%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-11-02 17:39

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
ProphetX◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	0.6%	2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%	1.3%	2026-11-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%	1.7%	2026-11-02 21:31
Smarkets◎	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%	2.0%	2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%	2.2%	2026-11-02 21:25