StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka

2026-11-03 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex Michelsen (Hemma)

Prognos 42.54%2.35rättvist odds
EV -2.15%
Fördel -0.934%
Kelly -1.65%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.10%42.45%42.60%43.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.232.252.3048.78%44.77%44.54%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Borta)

Prognos 57.46%1.74rättvist odds
EV -2.32%
Fördel -1.37%
Kelly -3.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.28%57.55%57.40%58.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.541.641.641.7064.94%61.02%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Alex Michelsen (Hemma): 42.54%; Jiri Lehecka (Borta): 57.46%. För Alex Michelsen (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.35. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.30, med väntevärdet -2.15%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.00%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.32%E -1.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.43%E -1.51%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.85%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.47%E -2.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-02 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:37
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.79%E -6.24%K -17.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -4.70%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-02 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.62%E -2.78%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -5.98%E -2.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.77%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 20:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:43
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-02 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.37%E -6.65%K -18.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.35%E -3.89%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 17:39
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.25%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.90%E -1.72%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.25%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 21:05
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.68%E -3.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.05%E -2.42%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-02 12:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 21:04
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 20:10
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.07%E -5.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.52%E -7.48%K -21.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-02 17:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-11-02 21:31
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-11-02 21:50
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-11-02 21:31
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-11-02 21:25