Школа коэффициентов

Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan

Начало: 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.81%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.16%
Преимущество +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Рост +0.038%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Гости)

Прогноз 54.19%1.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.38%
Преимущество -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 14:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 14:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:08
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 14:01
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 14:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:08
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 14:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 14:05
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:58
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 14:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 14:08
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 13:58
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 14:07
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10