مدرسة الاحتمالات

Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan

البداية: 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.81%2.18السعر العادل
EV +2.16%
الأفضلية +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fabian Marozsan (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.19%1.85السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 14:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 14:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:08
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 14:01
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 14:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:08
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 14:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 14:05
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:58
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 14:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 14:08
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 13:58
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 14:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10