A Escola das Odds

Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan

Início: 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Previsão 45.81%2.18odd justa
EV +2.16%
Vantagem +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)

Previsão 54.19%1.85odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 14:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 14:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:08
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 14:01
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 14:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:08
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 14:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 14:05
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:58
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 14:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 14:08
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 13:58
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 14:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10