La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 45.81%2.18momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)
Predicción 54.19%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| ReBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 14:01 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 14:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |