Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Denis Shapovalov (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 45.81%2.18kurs godziwy
EV +2.16%
Przewaga +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Wzrost +0.038%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Fabian Marozsan (Goście)
Prognoza 54.19%1.85kurs godziwy
EV -1.38%
Przewaga -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| ReBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 14:01 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 14:07 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |