L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prévision 45.81%2.18cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.19%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| ReBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 14:01 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetUS | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 14:07 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |