Die Wettquotenschule

Denis Shapovalov v Fabian Marozsan

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Heim)

Prognose 45.81%2.18faire Quote
EV +2.16%
Vorteil +0.970%
Kelly +1.76%
Wachstum +0.038%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.82%45.86%45.70%47.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.962.072.052.2351.02%48.27%48.78%44.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.19%1.85faire Quote
EV -1.38%
Vorteil -0.758%
Kelly -1.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.49%54.14%54.30%57.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.721.721.8261.73%58.03%58.14%54.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV +2.16%E +0.970%K +1.76%G +0.038%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 14:05
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.04%E -0.484%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:00
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.50%E -0.699%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 14:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -2.88%E -1.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.97%E -5.34%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 14:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Right2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:08
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 14:01
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 14:08
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 14:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:08
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.79%E -1.81%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 14:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.71%E -3.28%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 13:59
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.71%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.05%E -6.05%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -5.17%E -2.50%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -10.59%E -6.42%K -16.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 13:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 14:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 14:00
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.51%E -5.69%K -14.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 14:10
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.17%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:04
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%EV -6.54%E -3.21%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -12.22%E -7.54%K -19.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 14:05
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.00%E -3.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.38%E -0.758%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.46%E -3.69%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 13:58
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.55%E -1.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 14:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 14:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 14:08
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.37%E -4.19%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.88%E -4.64%K -11.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 13:58
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.59%EV -10.21%E -5.21%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.41%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 14:07
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 14:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-04-16 14:10