Language:English
Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alex Molcan (Local)
Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 71.94%1.39fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex Molcan (Local): 28.06%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 71.94%. For Alex Molcan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |