默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alex Molcan (主队)

预测 28.06%3.56公平赔率
EV +5.21%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexander Bublik (客队)

预测 71.94%1.39公平赔率
EV -2.88%
优势 -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alex Molcan (主队):28.06%;Alexander Bublik (客队):71.94%。 对于“Alex Molcan (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+5.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Pinnacle🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:24
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 13:24
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:23
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:23
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:21
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:24
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.7%2026-04-14 13:25