L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Molcan (Local)
Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV +5.21%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.94%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| ReBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:21 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |