Die Wettquotenschule

Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 13:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex Molcan (Heim)

Prognose 28.06%3.56faire Quote
EV +5.21%
Vorteil +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
Wachstum +0.099%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alexander Bublik (Auswärts)

Prognose 71.94%1.39faire Quote
EV -2.88%
Vorteil -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:24
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 13:25
GTbets3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:24
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 13:24
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 13:25
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:23
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:23
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:25
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:24
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:24
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:25
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 13:25
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:25
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:25
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:24
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:25
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 13:25
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 13:21
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:25
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:24
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-14 13:25
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-14 13:25
Novig3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.7%2026-04-14 13:25