La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex Molcan v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex Molcan (Local)
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV +5.21%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.45%28.03%28.04%31.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.7533.33%29.73%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 71.94%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -8.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.97%71.97%71.96%74.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.97%75.76%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +5.21%E +1.39%K +1.90%G +0.099% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| GTbets | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +3.25%E +0.883%K +1.21%G +0.039% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.91%E -6.18%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.00%E +0.279%K +0.386%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.399%E -0.112%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.80%E -0.515%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.08%E -0.597%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.05%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:23 |
| ReBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.03%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.82%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 13:21 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:24 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.88%E -2.13%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |
| Novig | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 13:25 |